The Rockies had been twiddling their thumbs in snowy Denver for six days before the Red Sox finally hoisted the American League championship trophy, but now they’re on a plane to Boston and only are one day a way from their first World Series.
And the Red Sox are ready and waiting for them, hoping to squash the dreams of this year’s Cinderella team en route to a second championship in four years.
Las Vegas odds-makers have given the Red Sox a 2-1 advantage in this World Series. But will it really be that easy? Those Rockies, if you haven’t noticed, haven’t lost a game in over a month. Sure, they’ve been sitting for eight days - but they’ve still won 21 of 22. That’s not a whole lot of losing, which is what
those odds-makers are predicting they’ll do four times in the next week and a half.
But the Red Sox are the Red Sox. They have postseason god Josh Beckett, the clutchest DH on the planet in David Ortiz, and Manny being Manny. They’ve also got experience on their side, with 11 rings between them, while the Rockies have… none.
So what does this all mean? Let’s take a closer look at how these two teams match up.
Starting pitching
It’s no secret that Josh Beckett has been The Man for the Red Sox this postseason, and starting him twice - or even three times - in this series should mean an automatic two wins for Boston. But the Rockies starters haven’t exactly been, well, Rockies-like. Jeff Francis has only given up three earned runs in two postseason starts, and Ubaldo Jimenez has done him one better, with two earned runs in two starts. But neither of these guys are Beckett-like, and they don’t have anybody with near the track record of Curt Schilling, Jimenez’s likely opponent in Game 2. Boston’s patient offense should also be tough for the Colorado starters. Advantage: Boston
Bullpen
You may not have noticed, but before Brian Fuentes surrendered the big three-run home run to Chris Snyder in Game 4 of the NLCS, the Rockies bullpen had a playoff ERA of 0.72 in 25 innings pitched. And these weren’t just blowouts in which they were eating up innings - they were protecting tight leads and preserving ties. Maybe Fuentes’ hanging slider was the end of it, but I doubt it. The Rockies ‘pen is extremely solid. The Red Sox, on the other hand, have some dependable guys but just haven’t looked as strong in the postseason. Even if I don’t count Eric Gagne’s ugly Game 2, I think Colorado would have a leg up in a battle of the bullpens. Advantage: Colorado
Lineup
The Rockies and Red Sox were about as dead even in team offense this year as any two teams can be. Colorado had a .280
batting average and 860 runs scored, while Boston had a .279 average and scored 867 runs. The Red Sox, however, have had the edge in the postseason, scoring more than double the number of runs as the Rockies (albeit in three more games). They also have posted a .304 team batting average, compared to the Rockies at .242. Both of these teams use their home field to their offense’s advantage, and Colorado will have an even bigger advantage in this series, as Boston will have to sit either David Ortiz or Kevin Youkilis at Coors. Still, I think Boston has the momentum and the edge offensively. Advantage: Boston
Bench
It’s often easy to pick the NL team as having the advantage here because NL style of play requires them to use their bench a lot more. But Terry Francona has some platoon situations and isn’t afraid to play the matchups. When Coco Crisp and J.D. Drew are playing, he has Jacoby Ellsbury and Bobby Kielty on the bench, and vice versa. And he’ll have Big Papi or Youkilis on the bench at Coors. Clint Hurdle’s bench features some relative unknowns who have come up with some big pinch hits in the postseason (Jeff Baker and Seth Smith) and Ryan Spillbourghs, who was good enough to start before Willy Tavares came back for the NLCS. The BoSox may have some sexier names on the bench, but the Rockies have shown their guys can be game-changers. This one is too close to call. Advantage: EVEN
Defense
This one, however, is not close. The Rockies put up the best fielding percentage in MAJOR LEAGUE HISTORY this season. Todd Helton is a Gold Glover, and Troy Tulowitzki will be. The Red Sox are no slouches with the glove, however. They were the second best fielding team in the AL this year. But you can’t argue with the best in major league history. The only thing to worry about with the Rockies’ D is how Matt Holliday plays the Green Monster at Fenway, as it’s been known to eat up many a visiting left fielder. But this category still clearly goes to Colorado. Advantage: Colorado
Intangibles
Remember a few years ago when they talked about Yankee Mystique, this phenomenon that made people shake in their boots at the sight of pinstripes? Well that’s pretty much what they Red Sox are now. They’ve broken the curse and established themselves as a monster in the baseball world. They’ve got experience and one of the sport’s most rabid fanbases on their side. The Rockies, however, are still on their magical run and have yet to lose a game in the postseaon. People thought they wouldn’t beat Philly, but they did. They weren’t expected to trounce Arizona, but they did that too. And nobody expects them to win this World Series - and that includes me. Advantage: Boston
Series Prediction: Boston in six.